Who are you tomorrow?

• 68, born in India, England 9 years (19), USA 40 years (San Diego, California)
• Founder (formerly President) of High-tech company Action Instruments
• Technology Futurist
• Speaker, Writer, Author (2 books)
• Industrial Automation Business Consultant
• Angel Investor (High-tech)

Who are YOU?

• High-school honors students
  • Intelligent Teens
  • Your whole life ahead of you
• Teachers
  • Care about their students
  • Want the best for them

Who are you – tomorrow?

• 10 years (2016) – 20-something
  • Choice of career path
  • Choice of location – US, Europe, Global
  • Single or linked-up
• 20 years (2026) – 30-something
  • Career launched – often defines you
  • Where in the country/world?
  • Still single? Married with kids?

Why Are We Here?

• To view the future
  • Trends (not predictions)
• The Future Will Happen - Whether We Like It Or Not!
• You can/must choose who and what you will be tomorrow
• You can be whatever you choose

Overview

• World of tomorrow
  • Different, Exciting, Fun
• E-speed
  • Accelerating change
• History Versus Future
  • Rear-view mirror is misleading
• New negative factors
  • Terrorism

100 Years Ago (in America)

• The average life expectancy was 47
• 10% of adults were illiterate; 6% had graduated from high school
• 14% of homes had a bathtub; 8% had a telephone
• A 3-min coast-to-coast telephone call cost $11
• There were 8,000 cars and 144 miles of paved roads
• The maximum speed limit in most cities was 10 mph
• The average wage was 22 cents an hour
• The average worker made about $200 per year
• Annual pay: accountant $2,000, mechanical engineer $5,000
• More than 95% of births took place at home.
• 90% of physicians had no college education
• Most women only washed their hair once a month and used borax
• The leading causes of death in the were Pneumonia, Influenza, Tuberculosis and Diarrhea
• The population of Las Vegas, Nevada, was 30

Century ago predictions (1901)

• Worldwide telephone
• Worldwide color photo instant transfer
• Rise of China, Japan & Africa
• Round-the-world trip in 7 days; global travel for everyone
• Warships in the air
• Air conditioner
• Advanced voice transmitter
• Picture telephone
• Shopping by picture telephone
• Electricity as fuel
• Bullet trains
• Medical treatment without pain or medication
• Automobiles without horses
• Advanced education
• Countrywide electricity distribution

1901 failed predictions

• Green Sahara
• Extermination of flies & fleas
• Cultivation by electricity of tropical plants in Greenland
• Worldwide railroad network
• Natural disaster control
• Animal language literacy
• Extinct wild animals
• Rubber tire trains in the air & under the ground
• Everybody taller than 6 ft.

If the world had 100 people

• 1 person with college education
• 67 adults - 37 illiterate
• Only 33 have access to clean, safe drinking water
• 15 people would live in adequate housing
• The other 85 people would live in huts and be hungry most of the time
• 6 people would control half the wealth - 3 of the 6 would be Americans
• 7 people would own an automobile - Some would own more than one

Major Trends

• Accelerating Change
• Globalization – clash of cultures
• Internet
• The innovation economy
• Fuel – the post-oil future
• Longevity – longer and healthier lives
• Weird Science
• Security against terrorism
• Climate Change

The 3 technology laws

• Moore’s Law
  • Processing power doubles every 18 months
• Gilder’s Law
  • Bandwidth doubles every 12 months
• Metcalfe’s Law
  • Effectiveness increases exponentially with the number of connections

  All 3 laws predict exponential advances

Globalization – Flat World

• The rise of China & India
  • 2 of 5 people
• Global communications
  • Cheap phone calls anywhere
• Knowledge & Education
  • Internet makes it available everywhere
• The ingredients of innovation & Motivation
  • "You can’t simulate hunger"

The innovation economy

• Will determine future leadership
• 4 power-tools – info-tech, biotech, nanotech, neurotech
• Education is the key
• Knowledge is Power

Top Technologies

• Communications
• Energy
• Nanotechnology
• Bio Technology
  • Cloning
  • Genetic engineering

Top innovations in 2020

• Internet commerce – 4 billion people
• Hydrogen engines for transport
• Health enhancement for humans
• Domestic robots
• Nanotech manufacturing